YTD: +$20456.37...not much poker...too much work :-(
Thanks to Butch for his first comments...if you're here and you want to say something please do so...no registration required! Butch made an interesting point about short-handed play, in that the turn could be where the better players regain their equity. Certainly from my PokerTracker stats on ring games, the best players are very very aggressive on the turn and I could certainly see that being the way to profit s-h. But the variance is not for me! Here's one of my few thoughtful rgp posts - please comment your thoughts:
I thought I would post what I thought was an interesting pot limit Omaha 8b hand. Interesting because it is no self-aggrandizing massacre of a chump with no outs and interesting because it was live action, not online.
In the game I was playing there were two £2 blinds, one on the button and one under the gun. I was in the OTG blind with a stack of about £500. There were several limpers back to me when I found a2366 suited ace (it was 5 card Omaha 8b). I raised slightly less than the pot and picked up several callers. The flop came 642, with two diamonds, not my suit. This is a very strong flop for my hand, unless I run into a35. Also the bulk of the players were very poor and I could get action from naked a3 in this spot. I came out and bet about the pot £40, and surprisingly everyone passed, except the one player I didn't want to call, who we'll label GS. GS is a very strong cash player, as
good, if not better, than any I've seen and would only tangle with me in this spot with a strong hand. I prayed for a pair up
Instead the dealer turned over a card of death, an offsuit 3. With my low counterfeited, I checked, prepared to pass to a bet, and to my surprise GS checked also. Clearly his only low was an a3 too. In retrospect I could have deduced that the three was a bad card for him as he wouldn't call with an a5…although there was a small chance that he may have slowplayed a35, hoping to get a big raise on a neutral turn if I led out again.
The last card was interesting…an offsuit 5. No flush had come and I now had a wheel. Most importantly, I also had a 6 straight, which although not the nuts would quarter any pure wheel holders. What do you do? And what do you do if he bet/raises? (assuming you check/bet, respectively)
I'll post what I did later.